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Real-world menstrual cycle characteristics of more than 600,000 menstrual cycles
Bull, Rowland, Berglund Scherwitzl, Scherwitzl, Danielsson, Harper · 2019 · npj Digital Medicine 2:83
What this work gives Aellic
612,613 cycles with ovulation confirmed by basal temperature and LH: cycle length 29.3 ± 5.2 d, follicular phase 16.9 ± 5.3 d, luteal phase 12.4 ± 2.4 d. Variance ratio follicular:luteal ≈ 4.9:1 — all of the spread sits BEFORE ovulation. This is why ovulation is estimated backwards from the next expected period: going backwards inherits the luteal SD of 2.4 instead of the follicular one of 5.3. It also carries `DEFAULT_CYCLE_LENGTH = 29` (only 13 % of all cycles really run 28 days; the mean is 29.3).
Where this sits in the engine
4 declared sites: constants and thresholds in the code that point at this entry.
- Cycle Phases and cycle-aware baselines 4 sites
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